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Over the past eight years

2015-06-02 00:00 309 查看
摘要: Over the past eight years

NFL Preseason Home Underdogs

NFL Preseason UnderdogsThis is our second article dealing with the NFL preseason and it won't be the last. The first article, written several years ago dealt with things like quarterback rotations and coaches and their philosophies. While those are things that bear watching, it was a little too vague for some sports bettors, especially those who just want to know who to wager Earl Thomas III Women Jersey on.

From that perspective, we won't leave any guesswork to this article, as it tells you exactly which teams to wager on. But before we get into the heart of the article, it does bear mentioning a little bit about preseason and its worth to the respective organizations of the NFL.

The Preseason SwindleRegular season NFL game tickets are typically prized possessions and can be difficult to acquire. True, there will be dismal teams whose fans will come disguised as empty seats or wear bags over their heads as the losses mount, but a number of teams will Authentic 12th Fan Jersey sell out their games, while those which don't may have some remaining in the top of the nosebleed section.

In 2010, 20 of the 32 NFL teams had attendance of 94 percent or better. Just 14 of the 30 NBA teams and three Russell Okung Jersey of the 30 MLB teams had higher than 94 percent attendance capacity. Interestingly, the NHL which many people view as a fringe sport, saw 19 of its 30 teams check in with a capacity of 94 percent attendance or better, which leaves it trailing only the NFL.

Die hard football fans don't want to get left out in the cold when it comes to getting tickets, so many of them will buy season tickets, which typically involves better seats for the same amount of money. A person with $100 per game season tickets will normally be in the front of the pricing tier and closer to the center of the field than a person buying a single game ticket for $100.

But there is another catch for those buying season tickets. Not only do they purchase tickets for the eight regular season home games, but they also have to pay the same price for tickets to the team's two preseason home games.

Naturally, most season ticket holders aren't happy about the arrangement, but if they Russell Okung Women Jersey want to lock in their tickets for the season, go ahead and pay for the preseason games.

Preseason Home DogsA main consideration in preseason lines is the strength of the teams in the regular season. While that doesn't make a whole lot sense, it's certainly nothing for the educated bettor to complain about.

Teams are made home underdogs for two basic reasons. Either they aren't very good or their opponent is. While that's a simplification Earl Thomas III Jersey of the matter, it generally does hold up to be true.

As bettors, what we will look to do is to use the rationale for a team being a home underdog and tie that in with the unhappy fans who are forced to buy preseason tickets with their season ticket packages.

If we're dealing with a poor team, it makes sense they will want to give the fans a decent 12th Fan Jersey showing in their two home preseason games. Likewise, an average team will likely want to give a good effort when playing one of the upper tier teams.

Therefore, what we're looking to do is simply wager on home underdogs in the preseason.

Over the past eight years, preseason home underdogs have a 52 31 3 (62.7%) record against the spread, and just as importantly, a bettor backing nothing but preseason home underdogs would have showed a profit in seven of the eight seasons.

The preseason home underdog has produced at a solid rate over the years and the logic behind the trend makes sense. So be sure to give some extra consideration to the home underdogs in the upcoming NFL preseason.
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