[英语阅读]国媒体提前为“选举日”做准备
2008-11-02 12:03
585 查看
距美国总统选举投票日只剩几天了,而多项民调结果显示,无论是全国范围内,还是一些关键州,奥巴马都有明显领先优势。在这样的情况下,美国媒体方面纷纷开始为“大选日”的可能结果做准备。如果大选当天奥巴马的确表现出压倒性优势率先拿下弗吉尼亚等几个关键州,奥巴马就可以在东部时间当日晚上八点踏上入主白宫之路,而大选报道也就有可能在晚上8:30分左右落下帷幕。但如若麦凯恩在宾夕法尼亚早早领先,他们面临的将是漫长一夜的等待。
US television news teams that sent election-night viewers to bed without a sure winner in the last two presidential races now face what many political pundits expect to be a swifter outcome next Tuesday.
US television news teams that sent election-night viewers to bed without a sure winner in the last two presidential races now face what many political pundits expect to be a swifter outcome next Tuesday.
With Barack Obama consistently leading pre-election opinion polls, network news executives are ready for the possibility that the Democratic nominee could emerge early in the evening clearly headed for victory over Republican rival John McCain.
If, as widely predicted, Obama captures such critical states as Virginia, Florida, Ohio and Indiana, where polls close by 8 pm Eastern time or earlier, experts say he would be well on his way to winning the White House before the Western half of the country finishes casting ballots.
"If Obama wins those early, then that's a landslide ... and that means basically the story's going to be over by 8:30, so then they've got to decide what they're going to do for the rest of the evening," independent media analyst Andrew Tyndall said.
But if McCainscores an early upset in Pennsylvania, another Eastern battleground, "they'll know that it's going to be a long, long night," he said.
Network officials doubt they will feel confident enough to declare an overall winner before polls close in the West. And they insist there is plenty to keep viewers tuned in late, including whether Democrats can attain a filibuster-proof majority of at least 60 seats in the US Senate.
Still, a lop-sided result for Obama would pose a rare challenge for broadcast news veterans accustomed to the kind of neck-and-neck race that kept audiences up until the early hours for the presidential elections of 2000 and 2004.
Getting it right
Network executives say they will stick with the practice in recent elections of not projecting a winner of any state until all that state's polls have closed. In some states, polls in certain areas close earlier than others.
And they vowed to put accuracy ahead of speed as they call races in each state and tally the corresponding Electoral College votes amassed by the nominees. To win, a candidate needs to collect at least 270 of the 538 electoral votes.
"I'll be particularly cautious this year," said CNN political director Sam Feist, explaining that higher-than-usual registration by young people, first-time voters and blacks could skew previous voter patterns. "There's no rush to project the winner."
One important step taken by news organizations before the 2008 election was to upgrade the system used in exit polls, the surveys of voters conducted just after they cast their ballots that are often used to "call" a given state for a particular candidate. Over-reliance on exit polls has often proved misleading.
"We will base our calls on real votes and historical voting and exit polls, and will project those races only when we feel very comfortable that the margins are big enough," said ABC News senior vice president Jeffrey Schneider. "Our desire is to be right, not to be necessarily first."
Media organizations are still smarting from flawed exit polling that led to erroneous reports of an early groundswell for Democrat John Kerry in 2004, and from an election night debacle in 2000 that ended with flip-flopping projections for Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush. The disputed 2000 race ultimately was decided by the US Supreme Court.
Should all signs on Tuesday point to an Obama landslide, news directors say they will have no choice but to report the obvious.
Still, they are sensitive to striking a balance that avoids stating election trends as foregone conclusions while people in another part of the country are still voting.
Vocabulary:
scores an upset (over): 意外击败(获胜)
lop-sided: 偏向一边的,一边倒的
US television news teams that sent election-night viewers to bed without a sure winner in the last two presidential races now face what many political pundits expect to be a swifter outcome next Tuesday.
US television news teams that sent election-night viewers to bed without a sure winner in the last two presidential races now face what many political pundits expect to be a swifter outcome next Tuesday.
With Barack Obama consistently leading pre-election opinion polls, network news executives are ready for the possibility that the Democratic nominee could emerge early in the evening clearly headed for victory over Republican rival John McCain.
If, as widely predicted, Obama captures such critical states as Virginia, Florida, Ohio and Indiana, where polls close by 8 pm Eastern time or earlier, experts say he would be well on his way to winning the White House before the Western half of the country finishes casting ballots.
"If Obama wins those early, then that's a landslide ... and that means basically the story's going to be over by 8:30, so then they've got to decide what they're going to do for the rest of the evening," independent media analyst Andrew Tyndall said.
But if McCainscores an early upset in Pennsylvania, another Eastern battleground, "they'll know that it's going to be a long, long night," he said.
Network officials doubt they will feel confident enough to declare an overall winner before polls close in the West. And they insist there is plenty to keep viewers tuned in late, including whether Democrats can attain a filibuster-proof majority of at least 60 seats in the US Senate.
Still, a lop-sided result for Obama would pose a rare challenge for broadcast news veterans accustomed to the kind of neck-and-neck race that kept audiences up until the early hours for the presidential elections of 2000 and 2004.
Getting it right
Network executives say they will stick with the practice in recent elections of not projecting a winner of any state until all that state's polls have closed. In some states, polls in certain areas close earlier than others.
And they vowed to put accuracy ahead of speed as they call races in each state and tally the corresponding Electoral College votes amassed by the nominees. To win, a candidate needs to collect at least 270 of the 538 electoral votes.
"I'll be particularly cautious this year," said CNN political director Sam Feist, explaining that higher-than-usual registration by young people, first-time voters and blacks could skew previous voter patterns. "There's no rush to project the winner."
One important step taken by news organizations before the 2008 election was to upgrade the system used in exit polls, the surveys of voters conducted just after they cast their ballots that are often used to "call" a given state for a particular candidate. Over-reliance on exit polls has often proved misleading.
"We will base our calls on real votes and historical voting and exit polls, and will project those races only when we feel very comfortable that the margins are big enough," said ABC News senior vice president Jeffrey Schneider. "Our desire is to be right, not to be necessarily first."
Media organizations are still smarting from flawed exit polling that led to erroneous reports of an early groundswell for Democrat John Kerry in 2004, and from an election night debacle in 2000 that ended with flip-flopping projections for Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush. The disputed 2000 race ultimately was decided by the US Supreme Court.
Should all signs on Tuesday point to an Obama landslide, news directors say they will have no choice but to report the obvious.
Still, they are sensitive to striking a balance that avoids stating election trends as foregone conclusions while people in another part of the country are still voting.
Vocabulary:
scores an upset (over): 意外击败(获胜)
lop-sided: 偏向一边的,一边倒的
相关文章推荐
- [英语阅读]想去欧盟工作?准备跑“求职马拉松”
- 十步教你提高英语阅读速度
- 【英语文章-阅读分享-201406[01]】Google发现:使用集中式和分布式数据架构比完全的分散式架构工作得更好
- 每日英语阅读(六十四)
- 如何阅读英语文章
- iOS 系统分析(一) 阅读内核准备知识
- 【codeforces】378BParade(简单思维+英语阅读理解-.-)
- [英语阅读]为什么毕业时要穿学位服
- [英语阅读]调查:不吃早餐影响工作效率
- POJ 1125 Stockbroker Grapevine 英语阅读难题.....Floyd
- 英语单词的中间字母顺序乱了不影响阅读【类似现象在汉语中及发散】
- 经典英语阅读文章
- [英语阅读]拥有梦想,拥有成功
- 互联网自媒体撰稿人付费阅读的特殊价值分析
- 美国媒体英语新闻
- EMBA提前面试准备技巧
- 考研英语阅读的深切念怀
- [英语阅读]退休后去哪里?澳洲最受青睐
- [英语阅读]弹性工作制有益于身体健康
- [英语阅读]生而为赢—新东方英语背诵美文(5)-Ambition 抱负